The Dark Horse Senate Race

Republicans Can Win New Hampshire New Hampshire is not Massachusetts. The independent lane, the ground game, and the race that can flip the map. New Hampshire is the dark horse Senate race of 2026. I have had my eye on it for months. The campaign is playing out as I expected and it remains a very winnable race for John Sununu. Public polls still show Chris Pappas ahead by mid-single digits. Ratings have drifted toward Lean Democrat. Those instruments have misread this state before. They miss the independent and undeclared voters who decide races here, and they miss the non-response pattern…

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