Why the Midterm Polls Are Already Broken
The Pressure Line the Polls Refuse to Measure The numbers lied in Michigan. They lied in Wisconsin. They will lie again. In Michigan, the final wave of public polls showed Abdul El-Sayed ahead of Haley Stevens by double digits. Some had him up fourteen, eighteen, even twenty points in the closing days. The actual result was a one-point race. Stevens conceded, but the margin told the real story. In Wisconsin, Francesca Hong, the DSA-aligned state representative, led late surveys by twenty points and more. Marquette and others had her comfortably ahead. She lost by a fraction of a point to David…